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    Football> Community> GoalwireHQ>

    Armenia VS Montenegro

    UEFA Nations League
    Analysis More Tips
    Armenia
    Armenia 0
    0 Montenegro
    Montenegro
    Looking at the underlying performance metrics of both sides in this Nations League group, clear gaps in their on-pitch execution are easy to spot. Armenia records an 18.3% conversion rate for attacking finishes across full matches, far higher than Montenegro’s 14.7%, with their expected goals per game hitting 0.92 compared to Montenegro’s 0.65, which signals far more consistent attacking threat. While Montenegro edges out Armenia with a 61% success rate on key passes versus the latter’s 54%, their overall final-third pass creation value only stands at 9.3, slightly lower than Armenia’s 12.7. Armenia also holds the edge in midfield control, averaging 12.3 interceptions per game against Montenegro’s 9.8, and their transition counter speed hits 1.8 times per minute, faster than Montenegro’s 1.4. Their full-team total running distance reaches 112.4km per fixture, with 43 high-intensity sprints recorded, both metrics higher than Montenegro’s 108.6km total running and 37 high-intensity sprints, reflecting a far higher collective work rate across 90 minutes.
    Further Reading
    • MTASHE
      MTASHE
      As a senior football analyst, I have successfully predicted the exact scorelines of multiple recent fixtures, including Lithuania 1-1, Austria 3-1, Serbia 1-2 Netherlands, Norway 1-2 Portugal, as well as the correct outcome directions for the Germany-Greece and Israel-Ireland matches. Armenia holds clear home advantage for this tie. They opened their latest UEFA Nations League run with a 2-0 home victory over Latvia last round, delivering solid performances on both attacking and defensive fronts. The team excels at generating scoring opportunities through wide surges and set pieces, with their captain leading midfield orchestration, making their set-piece threat a consistent attacking weapon. Still, their backline has notable gaps: their first-choice defender Muradyan is sidelined with injury, the newly rotated center-back duo lacks defensive synergy, and their key midfielder has reported minor physical discomfort pre-match, which will undermine their stability under high-intensity con
      AH
      UEFA NL Armenia 0-0 Montenegro
    • Wengerteta
      Wengerteta
      Head-to-head records between these two sides have never formed a stable long-term pattern, with fluctuating results across recent years that bring huge suspense to this UEFA Nations League fixture. Armenia play as the home side here, and the game is far more than a fight for valuable group points: it is also a direct showdown between the two teams' distinct tactical ideas and latest competitive form. Looking back at past data, Armenia once suffered a crushing away defeat against Montenegro in an old European qualifying match. Montenegro built a 2-0 lead before the halftime whistle and finally sealed a dominant 4-1 win, showing extremely strong attacking efficiency at that time. However, football is always full of variables, and the competitive momentum in their later encounters has reversed completely. The fluctuating, unpredictable results from past meetings between these two sides have long made their matchups full of suspense. This Nations League fixture hosted by Armenia is far mor
      AH
      UEFA NL Armenia 0-0 Montenegro
    • Gavinwang
      Gavinwang
      Armenia, hosting this UEFA Nations League tie, has struggled badly for consistent positive results across all recent competitive fixtures. They hold only a 20% win rate, an equal 20% draw rate, and a staggering 60% loss rate, metrics that lay bare the huge difficulties the side is currently navigating. Their attacking and defensive stats paint an even clearer picture of their struggles: across all recent outings, they have scored a mere 8 goals while conceding 23, ending up with a negative goal difference of 15. That averages out to just 0.8 goals per game, a clear sign that their forward line lacks sufficient firepower to pose sustained, consistent threats to opposing defenses. Armenia’s supposed home advantage is barely tangible, with only a 28.5% win rate across all their home fixtures, paired with a 42.8% defeat rate. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 on home soil, averaging over one goal against per game, with obvious flaws in their defensive solidity. Montenegro, by comparison
      O/U
      UEFA NL Armenia 0-0 Montenegro
    More Tips
    • I’ve dug into the key pre-match stats for this Nations League fixture to break down the two sides’ respective competitive edges. Northern Ireland boasts a 12% higher finishing conversion rate than Hungary, with an expected goals per game figure of 1.8, far exceeding Hungary’s 1.2. Hungary’s key pass success rate stands at a mere 41%, while Northern Ireland notches 18.7 high-value final-third passes per 90 minutes, demonstrating far more cohesive attacking organization. In the midfield battle, Northern Ireland averages 14 tackles and 8 interceptions per match, with a transition speed 1.2 seconds faster than their opponents, which puts them in full control of the game’s tempo. The two sides record nearly identical total running distances, but Northern Ireland completes 15% more high-intensity sprints, pointing to a clear advantage in physical reserves.
      O/U
      UEFA NL Northern Ireland - Hungary
    • Offensive efficiency stands out as the most obvious gap between the two sides in this Nations League clash. From the data I have sorted, France holds an 18% attacking finishing conversion rate, far higher than Belgium's 12%, with its expected goals (xG) reaching 1.8, 0.5 ahead of the opponent. In terms of final-third passing quality, France completes 42 effective progressive passes at an 89% success rate, while Belgium only hits a 74% success rate in the same metric. France also edges out Belgium in midfield control, averaging 11 interceptions per game, 3 more than their rival, which supports their faster transition speed after winning back possession. The French squad also records a total average running distance of 112km and 17 high-intensity sprints per fixture, both stats better than Belgium's corresponding performance.
      AH
      UEFA NL Belgium - France
    • Across all core performance metrics tracked for this UEFA Nations League tie, Romania posts far stronger numbers than Bosnia and Herzegovina. Their attacking finishing conversion rate hits 18.3%, well above Bosnia’s 12.7%, with an expected goals (xG) output of 1.21 compared to the opponent’s 0.89. They also lead in key pass success rate at 62% versus 54%, and register a higher final-third pass value of 3.7 against 2.9. In midfield duels, Romania averages 14 ball recoveries per fixture, with a 1.8-second transition speed that is 0.5 seconds faster than their rivals. Their total running distance per game is 3.2km longer, and their high-intensity sprint volume is 27% higher. Defensively, they hold advantages in tackles (11 vs 8), interceptions (15 vs 10) and clearances (6 vs 4). Their overall chance conversion rate of 23% also outstrips Bosnia’s 17%, with the xG gap clearly demonstrating their solid attacking dominance.
      AH
      UEFA NL Romania - Bosnia and Herzegovina
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