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Home form has long been a major pain point for Timor-Leste in this upcoming AFF Cup fixture.
Their overall competitive record is deeply worrying, with a win rate of only 20% across all recent matches and a staggering 80% loss rate that clearly signals a severe slump in form.
The side struggles badly in the final third, notching just 8 total goals for an average of less than 1 per game, while their defense is riddled with unaddressed gaps. They have conceded 28 goals in total for a goal difference of -20, averaging nearly 1.5 goals shipped per 90 minutes.
This lopsided imbalance between attack and defense is even more pronounced on their home turf, where they hold a 25% win rate, zero draws, and a 75% loss rate. At home, their average goals scored drops to just 0.75 per game, while the average goals conceded jumps to 1.6.
By comparison, Cambodia may have inconsistent recent runs of form, but their overall squad quality still sits a clear cut above their opponents here.
Further Reading
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Zou Fan*Timor-Leste vs Cambodia - TOMORROW - FIFA ASEAN Cup Qualifiers* *Match Info:* - Date: *Tue Sep 30 09:00 AM WIB / 02:00 UTC* - Venue: Neutral (last meeting in Phnom Penh) - Competition: ASEAN Cup 2026 Qualifiers Final Round - winner advances to finals - Last meeting: *Aug 3 2026: Cambodia 3-0 Timor-Leste* at Morodok Techo Stadium *Form:* - *Timor-Leste:* *L5 in a row, 0 goals in 540+ minutes.* Lost 0-2 vs Myanmar Sep 24, 0-3 vs Indonesia, 0-2 vs Singapore, 0-7 vs Vietnam, 1-3 vs Brunei. Last 10 H2H: *1W-2D-7L vs Cambodia* (17 goals scored / 24 conceded). Average 0.0 goals scored / 3.4 conceded last 5. Striker Joao Pedro (8 goals in 30 caps) isolated. - *Cambodia:* Better momentum. *W2 last 3* - 1-0 vs Myanmar Sep 27, 3-0 vs Timor-Leste Aug 3, but also heavy defeats 1-3 Vietnam, 1-5 Indonesia. Home form strong: 4W-1L last 5 at home, 2.2 goals scored / 0.4 conceded. Key: *Sieng Chanthea (49 caps, 9 goals)* top scorer, plus Marcus Edwards-type creative spark from Hav Soknet. All squad froAH
FIFA ASEAN C
Timor Leste
2-2 Cambodia
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JAYSON✨Drawing on their long-running head-to-head records in regional competitions, we can spot a clear competitive edge held by Cambodia over Timor-Leste ahead of this AFF Cup fixture. Hosting the match on their home turf, Timor-Leste will face a tight tactical battle that will largely dictate the overall flow of the 90 minutes. Cambodia has maintained a dominant position in their recent clashes across Southeast Asian tournaments. Their most recent away meeting against Timor-Leste finished in a convincing 3-0 victory, where they led in both possession share and attacking efficiency. Even with fewer corner kicks earned in that game, they posted an impressively high conversion rate, which fully demonstrates their sharp, clinical finishing ability in the final attacking zone. Head-to-head records across recent regional competitions clearly show Cambodia holds a notable competitive edge over Timor-Leste. Their most recent Southeast Asian Championship meeting saw Cambodia edge out a 2-1 win, wherAHFIFA ASEAN C
Timor Leste
2-2 Cambodia
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LIMITLESS™ 🔥🤍As a football analyst with in-depth research on regional tournaments, I find Cambodia boasts a clear upper hand over Timor-Leste across core attacking and midfield dimensions in this AFF Cup tie. The side registers a 28% finishing conversion rate, far exceeding Timor-Leste's 19%, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.8 compared to the latter's 1.1, forming a notable offensive edge. In passing phases, Cambodia's key pass success rate stands at 62%, and it averages 14.3 high-value final-third passes per 90 minutes, well above Timor-Leste's 9.7 mark. When it comes to midfield control, Cambodia averages 11.2 tackles and 8.4 interceptions per match, with more favorable clearance stats as well. Its total running distance per game hits 118km, with 23 high-intensity sprints, all metrics outperforming their opponents. Looking at the core attacking metrics of both sides, Cambodia holds a clear edge over Timor-Leste across the board. They average 4.2 shots on target per game, twice the figure of TimorAHFIFA ASEAN C
Timor Leste
2-2 Cambodia
FIFA ASEAN C
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