Croatia vs England Tips and Predictions O/U Luks

UEFA Nations League

Analysis More Tips

Croatia

England

Further Reading

Alex Russell

The long-running head-to-head record between these two European heavyweights has never failed to deliver riveting, high-stakes action over the years. Most of their recent meetings have unfolded on the biggest global tournament stages including the World Cup and European Championship, with every fixture packed with tactical trial and strategic posturing from both camps. Their last World Cup clash at a neutral venue ended in a 4-2 win for England, who ran rampant with their sharp attacking output after the two sides went into the break locked at 2-2, a scoreline that perfectly reflected the open, free-flowing nature of that contest. This upcoming Nations League fixture hosted by Croatia is far more than just a fight for group points. It will act as a direct, head-on test of both sides' tactical literacy and collective team spirit, with the long-standing dynamic balance in their past duels set to bring new, subtle shifts to the rivalry. The long-running head-to-head history between these

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UEFA NL Croatia 0-7 England
Kei R🐉

Croatia’s run of form this season has been far from ideal, with half of their 10 recent outings ending in defeat, even as they picked up wins in the other 5 matches. Historically, the team has only notched 5 or more losses in a single calendar year three times, with the previous instances coming in 2018 and 2020, and they have never registered 6 defeats in any full calendar year to date. A big question on the minds of Croatia supporters ahead of their clash with England is whether this fixture will see them set that unwanted new record. We have analyzed relevant performance metrics to assess the probability of England securing a full three-point haul on their away visit.

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UEFA NL Croatia 0-7 England
GoalwireHQ Won 3/4

Looking at the underlying performance metrics for this Nations League fixture, clear gaps emerge between the two sides in attacking and defensive output. Croatia posts an 18.3% finishing conversion rate, slightly lower than England's 19.7%, while the expected goals (xG) stat of 0.94 against 1.12 further proves England's higher efficiency in the final third. England also boasts a 62% success rate on key passes, well above Croatia's 54%, and their attacking pass value in the final third hits 12.7 compared to the opponent's 9.3, highlighting their solid edge in ball control and progressive play. While Croatia's total running distance across a full match reaches 112.4km, marginally over England's 110.8km, England registers 12 more high-intensity sprints, with a 68% midfield interception success rate that outperforms Croatia's 61%. Their 21 total tackles and 15 clearances also point to a more solid, dominant defensive performance overall.

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UEFA NL Croatia 0-7 England

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Kosovo Kosovo head into this fixture following on from a 0-0 Nations League draw against Israel. In that game, Kosovo managed 55% possession and 18 shots at goal with 3 on target. On the other side, Israel had 10 shots on goal with 3 of them on target. In their past six fixtures, Franco Foda's Kosovo have managed to score a total of 10 times - an average number of goals scored per match equal to 1.67. Austria In their last game, Austria drew 2-2 in the Nations League tie with Ireland. In as many as 5 out of the previous 6 games involving Austria, a minimum of three goals have been hit. The overall average number of goals per match in that spell is 3.83, with the average number of goals for Austria working out to 2. Let’s see whether or not that trend will be continued on into this next match.

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UEFA NL Kosovo - Austria
Wales Wales, buoyed by their previous result, will be hoping for more of the same after a 2-1 Nations League victory versus Norway. Wales have not been in good attacking form in recent times. Their goals record equals just 4 against opposition teams over the course of their last six fixtures. In those meetings, Wales have also seen the tally of goals that have gone against them come to 8. We will see whether or not that trend will be continued on in this game. Denmark Following on from being defeated in their last game at the hands of Portugal in Nations League action, Denmark and their travelling supporters will be hoping that they can get a better result in this one. In the course of their 6 latest matches, Brian Riemer's Denmark have managed to stick the ball in the net a total of 12 times therefore giving them the goals per game average of 2.

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UEFA NL Wales - Denmark
Greece Greece will play in this fixture after a 2-2 Nations League stalemate vs Netherlands. In that game, Greece had 29% possession and 8 attempts at goal with 4 of them on target. For Greece, the scorers were Fotis Ioannidis (23') and Giorgos Masouras (45'). For their opponents, Netherlands got 19 shots at goal with 5 on target. Virgil van Dijk (59') and Tijjani Reijnders (89') scored for Netherlands. In their preceding 6 games, Ivan Jovanović's Greece have scored a total of 5 times, an average number of goals per match of 0.83. Germany Germany will come into the encounter after a 2-0 Nations League win to defeat Serbia in their previous game. The numbers tell their own story, and Germany have been scored against in 6 of their last 6 matches, conceding 7 goals overall. Defensively, Germany seem to have a bit of a soft underbelly. That pattern isn’t assured to be continued into this match, though.

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UEFA NL Greece - Germany

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Croatia VS England